FutureWater supports the Asian Development Bank in preparing the Climate Risk and Adaptation Assessment for the Climate-Resilient Water and Sanitation Services Project in Uzbekistan. The project focuses on strengthening drinking water supply and sanitation services in Andijan, Ferghana and the Republic of Karakalpakstan, where water infrastructure is increasingly exposed to climate-related pressures such as extreme heat, drought, water scarcity, intense rainfall events and changing river flow conditions.
The assessment provided a structured analysis of present and future climate risks for the wider water supply system and for key infrastructure components, including water treatment plants, transmission mains, water distribution centres, smart water management systems and laboratory and IT facilities. Particular attention was given to the Kampyrravat water treatment plant and associated transmission infrastructure in Andijan, the Kungrad–Muynak transmission main, and the Tuyamuyun water treatment plant in Karakalpakstan. The work also considered the role of improved monitoring, telemetry, SCADA systems and district metered areas in strengthening operational resilience under increasing climatic variability.
FutureWater analysed climate hazards relevant to the project area, including floods, heatwaves, drought and water scarcity, rainfall-induced landslides, wildfires, groundwater salinization and seismic risks. The assessment combined climate index analysis with component-level exposure and vulnerability screening to identify how projected changes in temperature, precipitation extremes, consecutive dry days and long-term runoff seasonality could affect water availability, treatment performance, infrastructure reliability and service continuity.
The results were used to define and justify climate adaptation measures within the project design. These include flood-resilient siting and drainage improvements, heat-resilient materials and protection of exposed infrastructure, erosion protection along pipeline corridors, additional storage and operational measures for drought periods, improved water quality monitoring, and smart water management systems to reduce non-revenue water and support rapid response during climate-related disruptions. The assessment also contributed to the project’s climate finance justification, including the identification of adaptation-relevant investments in line with ADB and multilateral development bank guidance.
Through this work, FutureWater helped strengthen the climate rationale of a major water sector investment in Uzbekistan. The assessment supports the development of more reliable, efficient and climate-resilient drinking water services for communities in Andijan, Ferghana and Karakalpakstan, while contributing to long-term water security under increasing climate stress.
